As Nigeria moves closer to the 2027 general elections, President Bola Tinubu is encountering rising opposition from factions within his own political circle. Notably, some of the strongest allies of former President Muhammadu Buhari, previously united under the All Progressives Congress (APC) umbrella, are now aligning themselves with opposition movements to scuttle Tinubu’s second-term ambition, according to observations by LMSINT MEDIA. What initially appeared to be hushed disagreements among the APC’s influential power brokers has now grown into open resistance, involving many of Buhari’s most trusted lieutenants. Among the prominent figures are ex-Kaduna State governor Nasir El-Rufai, former Secretary to the Government of the Federation Babachir Lawal, along with other key members of Buhari’s cabinet such as Rotimi Amaechi and Abubakar Malami. These individuals, once considered pillars of the APC, have begun to coalesce around a new opposition alliance, fueling fresh questions about the governing party’s internal cohesion. A former National Chairman of the APC, John Odigie-Oyegun, is also part of the emerging bloc. This new coalition recently adopted the African Democratic Congress (ADC) as its political platform, with the controversial selection of ex-Senate President David Mark as interim national chairman and former Osun State Governor Rauf Aregbesola as its secretary. Internal cracks within the APC are not exactly novel. Tinubu, who was instrumental in Buhari’s 2015 rise to the presidency, now appears increasingly alienated from the same network he once helped empower. The APC itself was created in 2013 as a merger of the Action Congress of Nigeria (ACN), Buhari’s Congress for Progressive Change (CPC), and the All Nigeria Peoples Party (ANPP). Although the coalition was a strategic masterstroke, it was always delicate. Buhari’s 2015 presidential victory — his fourth attempt — largely rode on Tinubu’s political reach in the South-West, alongside powerful alliances with northern heavyweights like El-Rufai and Amaechi. By the 2023 election cycle, the political tide had shifted. Tinubu, describing his presidential aspiration as a “lifelong ambition,” secured the APC nomination despite fierce challenges from within the party ranks. His eventual win came in a general election riddled with controversy, including a chaotic currency redesign, the divisive Muslim-Muslim ticket, and serious concerns over his health and cognitive performance during the campaign. Remarkably, Tinubu lost in the so-called ‘K states’ — Kano, Kaduna, and Katsina — all seen as Buhari’s northern fortresses, yet still won the presidency. Tinubu’s connection with Nasir El-Rufai had always been transactional. After initially being considered for a cabinet appointment under Tinubu’s administration, El-Rufai was later removed based on a security report. Their falling out was rapid and bitter. “Forgive me for bringing this evil Tinubu to power in 2023. It won’t happen again in 2027. The guy is gone,” El-Rufai reportedly told a group of his supporters in May, a remark that went viral on social media and gave a boost to northern opposition elements. El-Rufai, who previously served as Minister of the Federal Capital Territory, has since decamped to the Social Democratic Party (SDP), where he is said to be coordinating a wider coalition involving elements of the ADC, PDP, SDP, and disenfranchised APC members. While the coalition appears powerful on paper, boasting veterans like Atiku Abubakar, Sule Lamido, David Mark, Aminu Tambuwal, Amaechi, and Babachir Lawal, questions still swirl around its ideological consistency and ability to stay united. Even Dumebi Kachikwu, the ADC’s 2023 presidential candidate, has described the coalition’s maneuver as illegitimate, arguing that they are working with expired party officials. “The coalition is dealing with people whose tenure expired in 2022. We are watching with amusement,” Kachikwu stated. In spite of these headwinds, Tinubu is not seen as a political rookie. Often called the “master strategist” for crafting the APC and capturing Lagos for the opposition in 1999, he has survived numerous political battles. A top Tinubu aide, speaking anonymously, said the president is “unshaken” by the new coalition, and is already working to rebuild alliances. “Remember 2023? They said he wouldn’t survive the Muslim-Muslim backlash. They said he wouldn’t get the APC ticket. He did both. Don’t count him out,” the aide insisted. Tinubu is also reported to be reaching out to traditional northern political power structures to rebuild confidence, especially in states he lost last time. There are even speculations that Tinubu could replace his vice president, Shettima, with Rabiu Kwankwaso of Kano State to boost his 2027 chances. With the PDP still fragmented and the APC battling internal mutiny, the 2027 contest could dramatically redefine Nigeria’s political landscape once again. But, at least for now, both sides are adopting a wait-and-see strategy. Meanwhile, some of Buhari’s loyalists, operating under the banner of the Forum of the defunct Congress for Progressive Change (CPC) within the APC, recently reiterated their support for President Tinubu. During a gathering in Abuja on Thursday, this bloc included dignitaries such as the Speaker of the House of Representatives, Dr. Tajudeen Abbas (who was represented), Katsina State Governor Dr. Dikko Radda, Niger State Governor Umar Bago (also represented), Foreign Affairs Minister Maitama Tuggar, former Nasarawa State Governor Senator Tanko Al-Makura, former Katsina Governor and former House Speaker Aminu Bello Masari, and the Chairman of the National Drug Law Enforcement Agency (NDLEA), retired General Buba Marwa. They emphasized that, although individuals are free to pursue their ambitions, they should not do so under the pretext of being “defunct CPC members.” Addressing the question of whether their bloc would still stand behind Tinubu, Hon. Farouk Adamu expressed confidence that the president would continue as their candidate in 2027. “We are with Tinubu just as we stood with our leader (Buhari), and we strongly believe Tinubu will remain our candidate for 2027,” he declared. The anti-Tinubu coalition, meanwhile, hopes to replicate the 2015 strategy, when a patchwork of opposition parties overthrew an incumbent. But Tinubu, whose political style is famously unpredictable, may still have several tricks up his sleeve. And in Nigerian politics, underestimating a veteran strategist can come with a steep price. List of Buhari Loyalists, Allies Now with ADC:
The All Progressives Congress (APC) has rejected reports of a supposed rift between President Bola Ahmed Tinubu and Vice President Kashim Shettima. The party has dismissed the rumors suggesting that Tinubu might replace Shettima with a new running mate for the 2027 elections, calling the claims baseless. Although Tinubu has not yet officially declared his candidacy for a second term, several loyalists and key figures within the APC have begun organizing support for his re-election. In spite of this, the speculations regarding a possible fallout between Tinubu and Shettima were quickly debunked by party officials as unfounded. Alhaji Bala Ibrahim, the APC’s National Director of Publicity, emphasized that such rumors were nothing more than “beer-parlour discussions” with no credible evidence. “These are purely speculative claims with no foundation. They should not be taken seriously,” Ibrahim stated, further clarifying that any decisions regarding a potential change in running mates would involve comprehensive consultations with major stakeholders. In a related development, political figures from Nigeria’s North Central region have reignited calls for the region to be considered for the presidency or vice presidency in the 2027 elections. Leaders from Plateau, Nasarawa, Benue, Niger, Kogi, and Kwara states, spearheaded by Prof. Nghargbu K’tso, urged the major political parties to consider zoning their presidential or vice-presidential tickets to the North Central region. In a statement issued following their meeting in Abuja, the stakeholders argued that if the APC grants Tinubu the “right of first refusal” for the presidential nomination, then the vice-presidential slot should be allotted to the North Central. Prof. K’tso pointed out that the region has remained politically marginalized since Nigeria’s return to democracy in 1999, as it has never produced a democratically elected president or vice president. He noted that the South East, while also excluded, had at least produced Dr. Alex Ekwueme as vice president from 1979 to 1983. “This is about fairness. We seek recognition as equal stakeholders, not just political appendages,” K’tso remarked. Despite these calls, the APC has brushed aside the North Central’s demand, terming it “unrealistic” and “premature.” In a response to the press, Alhaji Bala Ibrahim described the demand as “dead on arrival,” arguing that the North Central’s electoral influence is smaller compared to regions like the North West. He further stressed that the region’s calls for the presidency or vice presidency could only stir political tensions. “The North Central must not view these positions as an entitlement, given their relatively smaller contribution to the national vote compared to other zones,” Ibrahim stated, adding that discussions on zoning should only occur after President Tinubu’s first term. Source – APC Statement on Tinubu-Shettima RiftRelated: Understanding Zoning in Nigerian Politics READ ALSO: Follow the LMSINT MEDIA channel on WhatsApp: Join Our WhatsApp Group Hear: Chat on WhatsApp Join our Telegram Channel
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With the recent wave of defections from the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) to opposition parties, a prominent APC chieftain, Olatunbosun Oyintiloye, has affirmed that President Bola Tinubu’s bid for re-election in 2027 remains secure, regardless of political alignments against him. The political landscape has witnessed the defection of key figures, including former Kaduna State Governor Nasir El-Rufai, who recently joined the Social Democratic Party (SDP). Reports also indicate that he has been reaching out to other political heavyweights such as Rauf Aregbesola to strengthen his camp ahead of the 2027 elections. Despite these movements, Oyintiloye, in a statement issued in Osogbo on Sunday, described such efforts as ineffective, emphasizing that Tinubu possesses a robust strategy to counter any opposition at the appropriate time. He asserted that political defections are a common occurrence and should not be perceived as a threat to Tinubu’s second-term aspirations. “No political alliance can prevent President Tinubu’s re-election in 2027. Those plotting against him should take time to understand his leadership style. He has a well-structured plan and is building a network of influential supporters across Nigeria,” Oyintiloye remarked. The former lawmaker further noted that President Tinubu remains committed to driving Nigeria toward development and progress. He highlighted that the administration’s policies are already yielding results, reinforcing the President’s position for the next electoral cycle. “The President’s strategic governance, resilience, and ability to surmount political challenges that led to his victory in 2023 will once again work in his favor in 2027. Those opposing him will soon realize their miscalculations,” he added. Oyintiloye also urged Tinubu to intensify public engagement and awareness campaigns, showcasing his administration’s achievements and future plans to strengthen public confidence ahead of the next elections. Read more about President Tinubu’s leadership and policies on BBC News READ ALSO: Follow the LMSINT MEDIA channel on WhatsApp: Join Our WhatsApp Group Hear: Chat on WhatsApp Join our Telegram Channel
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The North-Central chapter of the All Progressives Congress (APC) has officially declared its support for President Bola Tinubu’s bid for a second term in the 2027 presidential elections. In a statement issued after a meeting in Abuja, the Forum emphasized its commitment to backing Tinubu due to his administration’s positive impact on the North-Central zone since he assumed office in 2023. The statement, signed by Alhaji Saleh Zazzaga, Chairman of the North-Central APC Forum, highlighted the region’s unprecedented gains under Tinubu’s leadership. Contrasting Views on Tinubu’s ReelectionThe endorsement comes amid opposition from key northern socio-political organizations, including the Arewa Consultative Forum (ACF) and its youth wing, the Arewa Youth Consultative Forum (AYCF). The ACF, in a statement by its National Publicity Secretary, Professor Tukur Muhammad-Baba, announced its preference for northern candidates in 2027. Similarly, AYCF President Alhaji Shettima Yerima criticized Tinubu’s first-term performance and warned that the North might withdraw its support unless significant socio-economic improvements are achieved. APC Forum’s Support for TinubuDespite these dissenting voices, the APC Forum lauded Tinubu’s efforts in infrastructure development, security, and federal appointments, describing them as unparalleled since Nigeria’s return to democratic governance in 1999. “President Tinubu’s leadership has brought more opportunities and infrastructural projects to the North-Central than any previous administration,” the Forum noted. It also called on Tinubu to prioritize additional developmental initiatives for the zone and assured him of unwavering support. The Forum expressed optimism about Tinubu’s assent to the proposed North Central Development Commission (NCDC) Bill once passed by the National Assembly. Improvements in Security and EconomyThe APC Forum acknowledged significant strides in combating insecurity in the North-Central, which has enabled farmers to return to their fields without fear. On the economic front, the Forum praised Tinubu’s policies, citing the strengthening of the Naira, increased oil production, rising foreign reserves, and the elimination of fuel scarcity as key achievements. “Tinubu’s economic reforms are beginning to bear fruit, and with time, Nigerians will see reduced inflation and improved living conditions,” the statement read. Call for Nationwide SupportThe Forum urged Nigerians to rally behind Tinubu for a second term, arguing that his policies are crucial for sustained progress. It gave Tinubu a positive assessment in areas such as security, economy, and infrastructure. Growing Support in the North-CentralIn a show of political realignment, two Labour Party members of the House of Representatives from Plateau State—Alfred Ajang Illiya and Daniel Chollom—recently defected to the APC. The Forum interpreted this as a sign of Tinubu’s growing acceptance in the North-Central zone. “We anticipate more defections to the APC as Tinubu’s administration continues to deliver results,” the statement concluded. The North-Central APC Forum reaffirmed its dedication to working for Tinubu’s reelection in 2027, just as it did in 2023. READ ALSO: Follow the LMSINT MEDIA channel on WhatsApp: Join Our WhatsApp Group Hear: Chat on WhatsApp Join our Telegram Chanel.
