Broos: Nigeria Can Only Reach 17 Points, Benin Has No Chance – South Africa Holds Edge

South Africa’s head coach, Hugo Broos, has emphasized that his squad holds a strategic upper hand over both Nigeria and Benin Republic as they approach the final set of matches in the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifying campaign this October.

Speaking ahead of the decisive fixtures, Broos asserted that Nigeria can at best accumulate 17 points, but that Benin will not be able to win both of their remaining games. According to him, the situation gives South Africa a clearer path to clinch the automatic qualification spot from their group.

Points Deduction and the Standings Shuffle

Earlier this season, South Africa were penalized by FIFA for fielding an ineligible player—Teboho Mokoena—in a World Cup qualifier versus Lesotho. As a result, the victory was overturned, and Bafana Bafana lost three points, lowering their total and handing Benin the top spot on goal difference.

Despite that setback, Broos insists the situation is still favorable. He pointed out that South Africa’s remaining two fixtures are home matches (vs Zimbabwe and Rwanda), which gives them an inherent advantage. Meanwhile, he believes Benin will struggle because they must play against both Rwanda and Nigeria in hostile settings.

Broos’s Tactical Confidence and Psychological Edge

Broos has made no attempt to mask his conviction. He claims there was never any doubt about his team’s ability, and he aims to instill that same mindset in his players. He sees South Africa as deserving of the World Cup berth, especially given the favorable conditions and his squad’s consistency.

By contrast, Nigeria are in a more constrained position. Even if they win both of their final matches, Broos argues they can only accumulate 17 points, matching the maximum South Africa might reach—but still vulnerable if South Africa remain dominant.

What’s at Stake & Scenarios to Watch

• If South Africa win both remaining matches, they would clinch the automatic spot regardless of other results.
• Benin, despite their current lead, face a more difficult road with tougher fixtures and less room for error.
• Nigeria must not only win all their matches but also rely on South Africa slipping up.

The final qualifiers will be held on October 10 and October 14, 2025—key days that will determine which nation secures the coveted place at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.